Ground-Truth Markets

The only prediction market resolved by ground truth — a market on "will this claim verify?", settled by Merit's own verifier as the oracle, not a human vote.

Markets opened

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Open now

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Resolved

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Verified YES

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Open a market

Claim

Source — the text the claim will be checked against

Seed a real stake

Seed amount (USDC)

API key (optional — required to seed on-chain)

Leave the seed side blank to open the market off-chain instantly — it starts at 50/50 and is still resolvable by ground truth. Supply an API key with a seed side + amount (capped at 0.1 USDC) to stake a real on-chain position and start the pool with a live crowd probability.